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PhyslibAlpha.Mathematics.MeasureTheory.LiftingAndConditioning

Lifting, averaging and conditioning probability measures

i. Overview

This file collects operations on probability measures used in Choquet's theorem. A probability measure on the compact range of a continuous map is the image of a probability measure on its source. The images of one measure under two maps can be averaged. A measure can be conditioned on an event of positive probability. Finally, the part of a measure on an event can be handed to another measure.

ii. Key results

- `ProbabilityMeasure.exists_map_eq_of_continuous_of_compl_range_null` proves that a probability measure on the range of a continuous map lifts to its source. - `ProbabilityMeasure.averageMap` is the average of two images of a measure. - `ProbabilityMeasure.condition` conditions a measure on an event. - `ProbabilityMeasure.replacePart` replaces the part of a measure on an event.

iii. Table of contents

  • A. Lifting through a compact continuous map
  • B. Averaging two pushforwards
  • C. Conditioning and replacing part of a measure

A. Lifting through a compact continuous map

B. Averaging two pushforwards

C. Conditioning and replacing part of a measure

10 declarations

theorem

Existence of a lift ν\nu such that q∗ν=μq_* \nu = \mu for measures concentrated on the range of a continuous map qq

Let XX be a compact topological space and YY be a topological space. Let q:X→Yq : X \to Y be a continuous map and μ\mu be a probability measure on YY. If the complement of the range of qq has μ\mu-measure zero (i.e., μ((range q)c)=0\mu((\text{range } q)^c) = 0), then there exists a probability measure ν\nu on XX such that the pushforward measure of ν\nu under qq is equal to μ\mu (i.e., q∗ν=μq_* \nu = \mu).

definition

Average of two pushforward measures 12f∗ρ+12g∗ρ\frac{1}{2} f_*\rho + \frac{1}{2} g_*\rho

Given a probability measure ρ\rho on a space AA and two ρ\rho-almost everywhere measurable maps f,g:A→Bf, g : A \to B, the average map is a probability measure on BB defined by the arithmetic mean of the pushforward measures f∗ρf_*\rho and g∗ρg_*\rho: 12f∗ρ+12g∗ρ \frac{1}{2} f_*\rho + \frac{1}{2} g_*\rho where f∗ρf_*\rho (respectively g∗ρg_*\rho) denotes the image measure of ρ\rho under the map ff (respectively gg).

theorem

Integral of the average of two pushforward measures equals the average of the integrals of the compositions

Let ρ\rho be a probability measure on a space AA, and let f,g:A→Bf, g : A \to B be ρ\rho-almost everywhere measurable maps. Let u:B→Ru : B \to \mathbb{R} be a function such that uu is integrable with respect to the pushforward measures f∗ρf_*\rho and g∗ρg_*\rho. Then the integral of uu with respect to the average measure 12f∗ρ+12g∗ρ\frac{1}{2} f_*\rho + \frac{1}{2} g_*\rho is given by: ∫Bu(x) d(12f∗ρ+12g∗ρ)(x)=12∫Au(f(x)) dρ(x)+12∫Au(g(x)) dρ(x) \int_B u(x) \, d\left(\frac{1}{2} f_*\rho + \frac{1}{2} g_*\rho\right)(x) = \frac{1}{2} \int_A u(f(x)) \, d\rho(x) + \frac{1}{2} \int_A u(g(x)) \, d\rho(x)

definition

Conditional probability measure given SS

Given a probability measure μ\mu on a space BB and a set S⊆BS \subseteq B with non-zero measure (i.e., μ(S)≠0\mu(S) \neq 0), this definition constructs the conditional probability measure μ(⋅∣S)\mu(\cdot | S), which represents the conditional law of μ\mu restricted to the event SS.

theorem

The measure of ScS^c under the conditional probability measure μ(⋅∣S)\mu(\cdot | S) is 00

Let μ\mu be a probability measure on a measurable space BB, and let S⊆BS \subseteq B be a measurable set such that μ(S)≠0\mu(S) \neq 0. Then the conditional probability measure μ(⋅∣S)\mu(\cdot | S) assigns zero measure to the complement of SS, i.e., μ(Sc∣S)=0\mu(S^c | S) = 0.

theorem

μ(S)⋅μ(⋅∣S)=μ∣S\mu(S) \cdot \mu(\cdot | S) = \mu|_S

Let μ\mu be a probability measure on a measurable space BB. For any measurable set S⊆BS \subseteq B with non-zero measure (i.e., μ(S)≠0\mu(S) \neq 0), the product of the scalar μ(S)\mu(S) and the conditional probability measure μ(⋅∣S)\mu(\cdot | S) is equal to the restriction of the measure μ\mu to the set SS, denoted μ∣S\mu|_S. In other words, μ(S)⋅μ(⋅∣S)=μ∣S\mu(S) \cdot \mu(\cdot | S) = \mu|_S.

definition

Replacing the part of μ\mu on SS with η\eta

Given probability measures μ\mu and η\eta on a measurable space BB and a measurable set S⊆BS \subseteq B, this definition constructs a new probability measure by replacing the mass of μ\mu on SS with the measure η\eta scaled by the total mass μ(S)\mu(S). The resulting measure is defined as: μ∣Sc+μ(S)η \mu|_{S^c} + \mu(S) \eta where μ∣Sc\mu|_{S^c} denotes the restriction of μ\mu to the complement of SS. This operation ensures that the total mass remains 11, as the original mass μ(S)\mu(S) is redistributed according to the probability distribution η\eta.

theorem

The measure of replacePart(μ,η,S)\text{replacePart}(\mu, \eta, S) equals μ∣Sc+μ(S)η\mu|_{S^c} + \mu(S) \eta

Let μ\mu and η\eta be probability measures on a measurable space BB, and let S⊆BS \subseteq B be a measurable set. The measure corresponding to the probability measure constructed by replacing the mass of μ\mu on SS with η\eta is equal to the restriction of μ\mu to the complement of SS (denoted ScS^c) plus the measure η\eta scaled by the mass μ(S)\mu(S). In mathematical notation: replacePart(μ,η,S)=μ∣Sc+μ(S)η \text{replacePart}(\mu, \eta, S) = \mu|_{S^c} + \mu(S) \eta where μ∣Sc\mu|_{S^c} is the restriction of the measure μ\mu to the set B∖SB \setminus S.

theorem

Integral Decomposition into Restricted and Conditional Parts over SS

Let μ\mu be a probability measure on a measurable space BB, and let S⊆BS \subseteq B be a measurable set such that μ(S)≠0\mu(S) \neq 0. For any function f:B→Rf: B \to \mathbb{R} that is integrable with respect to μ\mu, the integral of ff over BB can be decomposed as the sum of the integral over the complement ScS^c and the mass of SS multiplied by the conditional integral over SS: ∫Bf dμ=∫Scf dμ+μ(S)∫Bf dμ(⋅∣S)\int_B f \, d\mu = \int_{S^c} f \, d\mu + \mu(S) \int_B f \, d\mu(\cdot | S) where μ(⋅∣S)\mu(\cdot | S) denotes the conditional probability measure given SS.

theorem

Integral of the probability measure replacePart(μ,η,S)\text{replacePart}(\mu, \eta, S)

Let BB be a measurable space. Let μ\mu and η\eta be probability measures on BB, and let S⊆BS \subseteq B be a measurable set. Suppose f:B→Rf: B \to \mathbb{R} is a function that is integrable with respect to both μ\mu and η\eta. If we define the probability measure ν=replacePart(μ,η,S)\nu = \text{replacePart}(\mu, \eta, S) by replacing the mass of μ\mu on SS with the measure η\eta scaled by μ(S)\mu(S) (i.e., ν=μ∣Sc+μ(S)η\nu = \mu|_{S^c} + \mu(S) \eta), then the integral of ff with respect to ν\nu is given by: ∫Bf dν=∫Scf dμ+μ(S)∫Bf dη \int_B f \, d\nu = \int_{S^c} f \, d\mu + \mu(S) \int_B f \, d\eta where μ∣Sc\mu|_{S^c} denotes the restriction of μ\mu to the complement of SS.